PAGASA Weather Update | Bagyong KARDING | 11AM Friday | September 23, 2022

Watch the latest weather update here ⬇️

PAGASA Weather Update | Bagyong KARDING | 11AM Friday | September 23, 2022

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 5 ☔

Tropical Storm #KardingPH

Issued at 11:00 AM, 23 September 2022 

Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

 “KARDING” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA

Location of Center (10:00 AM):

The center of Tropical Storm KARDING was estimated based on all available data at 1,085 km East of Northern Luzon (17.7°N, 132.0°E)

Intensity

Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 80 km/h, and central pressure of 1000 hPa

Present Movement

Westward at 25 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds

Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 130 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is currently in effect.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

• Saturday evening through early morning: Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Batanes, Cagayan, and Isabela.

• Rest of Sunday through Monday early morning: Moderate to heavy rains with at times intense rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan, Isabela, Ilocos Provinces, and La Union. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the northern portion of Aurora and the rest of Ilocos Region and Cagayan Valley.

• Under these conditions, isolated to scattered flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.

• Due to the Southwest Monsoon partly influenced by KARDING, occasional rains are also possible beginning Sunday over most of Southern Luzon and Visayas, especially over their western sections. As such, the issuance of Weather Advisory for Southwest Monsoon is not ruled out.

Severe Winds

• Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals may be hoisted as early as tonight over the eastern portions of Northern and Central Luzon in anticipation of winds of at least strong breeze to near gale strength associated with the approaching tropical cyclone. 

• Per latest track and intensity forecast, the most likely highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 2. However, the potential for hoisting a Wind Signal No.3 is not ruled out at this time.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A preceding northeasterlies may bring moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.5 m) over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon by tomorrow. On Sunday, moderate to rough seas will continue for the seaboards of Northern Luzon (1.2 to 4.0 m) and may begin prevailing over the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon (1.2 to 3.0 m) due to the approaching tropical storm. Such condition may be risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to monitor for updates, take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions during the said period.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• KARDING is forecast to track generally westward while gradually accelerating towards the east coast of Northern Luzon, where it is likely to make landfall on Sunday morning. After crossing the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon throughout Sunday, the tropical cyclone will continue tracking over the West Philippine Sea.

• This tropical cyclone is forecast to gradually intensify within the period prior to landfall over Northern Luzon. Per latest intensity forecast, it is likely to make landfall as a high-end tropical storm or a low-end severe tropical storm. Frictional effects of the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon may result in some slight weakening, although KARDING will most likely be at tropical storm category once it emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

Link: bit.ly/3cXQPjd

Courtesy: DOST-PAGASA Official FB Page