PAGASA Weather Update | Bagyong KARDING | 5PM Friday | September 23, 2022

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PAGASA Weather Update | Bagyong KARDING | 5PM Friday | September 23, 2022

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 6 ☔

Tropical Storm  #KardingPH {NORU}

Issued at 5:00 PM, 23 September 2022 

Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.

“KARDING” SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING WESTWARD

Location of Center (4:00 PM):

The center of Tropical Storm KARDING was estimated based on all available data at 970 km East of Northern Luzon (17.7°N, 130.9°E)

Intensity

Maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 

998 hPa

Present Movement

Westward at 15 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds

Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 160 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

No Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal is currently in effect.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

• Saturday evening through Sunday early morning: Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, and the northern portion of Aurora

• Rest of Sunday through Monday early morning: Heavy to intense rains over the northern portion of Aurora, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, La Union, and Pangasinan. Moderate to heavy rains with at times intense rains over Cagayan, Ilocos Provinces, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, the northern portion of Zambales, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over the rest of Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.

• Under these conditions, isolated to scattered flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.

• Due to the Southwest Monsoon partly influenced by KARDING, occasional rains are also possible beginning Sunday over most of Southern Luzon including Metro Manila and Visayas, especially over their western sections. As such, the issuance of Weather Advisory for Southwest Monsoon is not ruled out.

Severe Winds

• Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals may be hoisted as early as tonight over the eastern portions of Northern and Central Luzon in anticipation of winds of at least strong breeze to near gale strength associated with the approaching tropical cyclone. 

• Per latest track and intensity forecast, the most likely highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 3. 

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

A preceding northeasterlies may bring moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.5 m) over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon by tomorrow. On Sunday, rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 4.5 m) will prevail over the eastern seaboards of Northern and Central Luzon due to the approaching tropical storm. Such condition may be risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to monitor for updates, take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions during the said period.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• KARDING is forecast to track generally westward while gradually accelerating towards the east coast of Northern Luzon or Aurora, where it is likely to make landfall on Sunday morning or afternoon. After crossing the mountainous terrain of Northern Luzon throughout Sunday, the tropical cyclone will continue tracking over the West Philippine Sea. 

• This tropical cyclone is forecast to gradually intensify within the period prior to landfall over Northern Luzon. Based on the intensity forecast, it is likely to make landfall as severe tropical storm. Frictional effects of the rugged terrain of Northern Luzon may result in some slight weakening, although KARDING will likely be at severe tropical storm category once it emerges over the West Philippine Sea.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today. 

 

DOST-PAGASA 

Link: bit.ly/3cXQPjd

Courtesy: DOST-PAGASA Official FB Page