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TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 11
Typhoon #IndayPH (MUIFA)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 10 September 2022
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall
• Typhoon INDAY remains less likely to directly bring heavy rains in the country throughout the forecast period. However, its trough may bring heavy rainshowers during thunderstorms over the eastern section of Southern Luzon and the western portion of Central Luzon. For more information, refer to the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast issued at 4:00 AM today.
• This tropical cyclone may enhance the Southwest Monsoon which may bring rains over the western sections of Southern Luzon and Visayas.
Severe Winds
The latest forecast scenario for INDAY shows that while the hoisting of Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals remains less likely at this time, further westward shift in the track forecast and/or expansion in the extent of tropical cyclone winds may result in the hoisting of wind signals over portions of Extreme Northern Luzon.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, INDAY may bring moderate to rough seas over the seaboards of Batanes (2.0 to 4.0 m) and Babuyan Islands (1.5 to 3.0 m). These conditions may be risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to monitor for updates, take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions during the said period.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• INDAY is forecast to move generally northwestward over the Philippine Sea today through Monday as it tracks towards the sea east of Taiwan. Furthermore, the typhoon will likely decelerate throughout the forecast period and may even reach a quasi-stationary state by Tuesday. By Wednesday, INDAY may begin drifting slowly north northeastward or northward over the East China Sea. On the track forecast, INDAY may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and pass close to the Miyako or Yaeyama Islands by late Tuesday or early Wednesday.
• Further intensification will continue until Sunday or Monday as INDAY tracks northwestward over the Philippine Sea. However, the slightly cooler waters east of Taiwan and the forecast slow-down period over this sea area may result in a weakening trend beginning on Monday or Tuesday.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: bit.ly/3cXQPjd
Courtesy: DOST-PAGASA Official FB Page
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